Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

203.78 – 100.21

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

186 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.9 ±9.3

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 98.15Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 25.21Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 80.42Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.9 ±10.4

281The GreenVillains

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 38.23Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 27.49Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10367Category 4 Storm Surge

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 34.49Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8575, 6167, 1287

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8575, 6167, 1287

Auto

39.9 20%

Teleop

116.6 58%

Endgame

43.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 281, 11424, 10367

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 281, 11424, 10367

Auto

18.3 19%

Teleop

44.7 47%

Endgame

33.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score203.8pts

Blue projected score100.2pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 103.6
Score range: 80–224
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 111.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

358.9Season APEX171.9

39.9Auto18.3

116.6Teleop44.7

43.2Endgame33.1

25Consistency128

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	30
teleop	122	55
endgame	19	45
foul	15	0
total	186	130

Result

Final score

186 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.