Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.89 – 129.3

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

141 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 43.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 149.1 ±10.4

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 26.39Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 32.36Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 24.14Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.3 ±10.4

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 53.72Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 25.65Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 49.93Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8137, 7085, 11398

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8137, 7085, 11398

Auto

29.2 36%

Teleop

36.4 45%

Endgame

15.4 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1319, 3489, 1758

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1319, 3489, 1758

Auto

25.4 21%

Teleop

60.6 49%

Endgame

37.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.9pts

Blue projected score129.3pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.4
Score range: 63–149
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 299 vs event baseline 111.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

149.1Season APEX167.3

29.2Auto25.4

36.4Teleop60.6

15.4Endgame37

151Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	24
teleop	60	66
endgame	22	53
foul	30	15
total	141	158

Result

Final score

141 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 43.4 pts