Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

110.92 – 30.43

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253.2 ±9.8

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 28.92Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 64.86Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 17.14Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.2 ±9.8

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 9.9Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 17.14Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 3.39Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1758, 1287, 3489

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1758, 1287, 3489

Auto

24.4 23%

Teleop

55.1 51%

Endgame

28.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11167, 7085, 1102

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11167, 7085, 1102

Auto

7.1 24%

Teleop

9.3 31%

Endgame

13.8 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.9pts

Blue projected score30.4pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 80.5
Score range: 14–127
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 90.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253.2Season APEX222.2

24.4Auto7.1

55.1Teleop9.3

28.5Endgame13.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	19
teleop	52	30
endgame	53	31
foul	0	10
total	139	90

Result

Final score

139 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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