Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

117.56 – 67.68

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

121 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 6.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.8 ±10.5

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 25.52Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 38.71Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 53.33Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 138.8 ±10.4

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 25.58Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 19.48Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 22.62Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11424, 11167, 1051

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11424, 11167, 1051

Auto

26.1 24%

Teleop

53.7 50%

Endgame

28.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10231, 6167, 9315

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10231, 6167, 9315

Auto

11.2 16%

Teleop

39.9 58%

Endgame

17.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.6pts

Blue projected score67.7pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.9
Score range: 49–137
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 107.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.8Season APEX138.8

26.1Auto11.2

53.7Teleop39.9

28.4Endgame17.5

68Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	21
teleop	58	21
endgame	32	35
foul	0	0
total	121	77

Result

Final score

121 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 6.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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