Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.76 – 138.07

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.6 ±10.4

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 13.26Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10367Category 4 Storm Surge

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 25.07Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 22.43Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.8 ±9.8

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 76.01Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 29.46Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11308Daniel Morgan Patriots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 32.6Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3490, 10367, 2815

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3490, 10367, 2815

Auto

14.9 27%

Teleop

23.8 43%

Endgame

16.2 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6366, 1102, 11308

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6366, 1102, 11308

Auto

25.2 19%

Teleop

73.3 55%

Endgame

35.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.8pts

Blue projected score138.1pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.3
Score range: 42–157
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 107.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

140.6Season APEX297.8

14.9Auto25.2

23.8Teleop73.3

16.2Endgame35.7

72Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	39
teleop	45	111
endgame	42	8
foul	0	0
total	104	158

Result

Final score

104 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 31.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.