Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
140.99 – 156.92
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
114 – 105
Prediction missed · off by 39.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 264.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 59.87Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 50.13Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 30.99Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 31Event APEX 15.87Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 36.68Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 104.37Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 343, 1758, 8137
83
/ 100 compatProjected
141 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 343, 1758, 8137
Auto
31.6 23%
Teleop
66.9 50%
Endgame
36.4 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10591, 281, 8575
83
/ 100 compatProjected
156.9 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10591, 281, 8575
Auto
24.0 17%
Teleop
79.4 55%
Endgame
42.0 29%
Strengths
- · 8575 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score141pts
Blue projected score156.9pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15.9
- Score range
- 122–176
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
264.1Season APEX247.7
31.6Auto24
66.9Teleop79.4
36.4Endgame42
123Consistency65
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 35 |
| teleop | 62 | 50 |
| endgame | 38 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 114 | 105 |
Result
Final score
114 – 105
Prediction missed · off by 39.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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