Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.61 – 92.95

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

90 – 85

Prediction missed · off by 17.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 120.8 ±11

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 28.2Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 21.11Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 13.3Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150 ±11.7

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 15.29Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 55.28Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 22.38Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7085, 9315, 10361

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7085, 9315, 10361

Auto

12.6 21%

Teleop

26.5 43%

Endgame

21.9 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6961, 1319, 11398

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6961, 1319, 11398

Auto

24.7 27%

Teleop

40.9 45%

Endgame

25.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.6pts

Blue projected score92.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.3
Score range: 44–112
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 107.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

120.8Season APEX150

12.6Auto24.7

26.5Teleop40.9

21.9Endgame25.7

91Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	32
teleop	44	39
endgame	28	14
foul	0	0
total	90	85

Result

Final score

90 – 85

Prediction missed · off by 17.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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