Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
119.86 – 72.11
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
195 – 76
Prediction correct · off by 39.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.9 ±11.2
Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 97.71Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 7.38Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 14.77Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 151.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 15.13Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 31.22Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 25.76Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8575, 11475, 3489
70
/ 100 compatProjected
119.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8575, 11475, 3489
Auto
25.4 21%
Teleop
70.7 59%
Endgame
23.7 20%
Strengths
- · 8575 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10599, 8137, 11424
51
/ 100 compatProjected
72.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10599, 8137, 11424
Auto
23.4 36%
Teleop
30.8 47%
Endgame
10.9 17%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score119.9pts
Blue projected score72.1pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 47.8
- Score range
- 53–139
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
207.9Season APEX151.5
25.4Auto23.4
70.7Teleop30.8
23.7Endgame10.9
100Consistency86
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 41 | 27 |
| teleop | 103 | 30 |
| endgame | 51 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 195 | 76 |
Result
Final score
195 – 76
Prediction correct · off by 39.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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