Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.36 – 86.94

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 109.8 ±10.4

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 24.43Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX 18.98Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 25.95Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.8 ±10.4

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 12.89Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 52.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 21.62Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9315, 10591, 11398

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9315, 10591, 11398

Auto

15.7 25%

Teleop

29.3 47%

Endgame

17.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6167, 342, 7085

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6167, 342, 7085

Auto

28.8 33%

Teleop

35.5 41%

Endgame

23.0 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.4pts

Blue projected score86.9pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.6
Score range: 50–106
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 225 vs event baseline 106.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

109.8Season APEX194.8

15.7Auto28.8

29.3Teleop35.5

17.6Endgame23

120Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	22
teleop	17	104
endgame	15	47
foul	0	0
total	52	173

Result

Final score

52 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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