Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

200.17 – 108.16

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

186 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 396.7 ±8.7

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 59.1Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 100.25Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 40.82Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135.7 ±12.2

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 60.45Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 18.83Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 28.88Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 343, 8575, 11167

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 343, 8575, 11167

Auto

31.2 16%

Teleop

105.0 54%

Endgame

58.7 30%

Strengths

· 8575 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1051, 10599, 2815

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1051, 10599, 2815

Auto

24.5 26%

Teleop

48.9 52%

Endgame

20.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score200.2pts

Blue projected score108.2pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92
Score range: 89–219
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 104.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

396.7Season APEX135.7

31.2Auto24.5

105Teleop48.9

58.7Endgame20.5

85Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	24
teleop	118	10
endgame	27	3
foul	5	15
total	186	52

Result

Final score

186 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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