Qualification · Qualification 44
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
63.78 – 95.68
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
62 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 2.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 32.33Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 25.06Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 6.39Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155 ±10.4
Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 38.59Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 30.83Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 26.26Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1102, 9315, 11475
51
/ 100 compatProjected
63.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1102, 9315, 11475
Auto
13.6 22%
Teleop
34.0 55%
Endgame
14.3 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 281, 11308, 11398
59
/ 100 compatProjected
95.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 281, 11308, 11398
Auto
23.6 24%
Teleop
36.3 37%
Endgame
37.7 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score63.8pts
Blue projected score95.7pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -31.9
- Score range
- 45–115
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
123.9Season APEX155
13.6Auto23.6
34Teleop36.3
14.3Endgame37.7
87Consistency101
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 20 |
| teleop | 38 | 43 |
| endgame | 9 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 62 | 93 |
Result
Final score
62 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 2.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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