Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.76 – 127.27

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

103 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 49.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.4 ±11.6

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 15.53Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 6.66Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 17.57Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.8 ±9.8

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 19.11Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10367Category 4 Storm Surge

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 33.19Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 74.97Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7085, 10361, 11368

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7085, 10361, 11368

Auto

14.6 52%

Teleop

-4.8 0%

Endgame

18.2 65%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3489, 10367, 6366

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3489, 10367, 6366

Auto

22.8 19%

Teleop

71.6 60%

Endgame

25.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.8pts

Blue projected score127.3pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.5
Score range: 21–146
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 106.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

133.4Season APEX272.8

14.6Auto22.8

-4.8Teleop71.6

18.2Endgame25.5

91Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	28
teleop	38	41
endgame	39	22
foul	0	0
total	103	91

Result

Final score

103 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 49.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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