Qualification · Qualification 40
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
74.41 – 83.46
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
81 – 145
Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 139 ±11.7
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 25.99Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 30.84Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 17.58Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 34.03Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 5.81Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 43.62Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9315, 10367, 10599
49
/ 100 compatProjected
74.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9315, 10367, 10599
Auto
12.8 23%
Teleop
35.9 64%
Endgame
7.8 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11167, 11475, 1758
58
/ 100 compatProjected
83.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11167, 11475, 1758
Auto
31.9 40%
Teleop
30.6 38%
Endgame
18.2 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score74.4pts
Blue projected score83.5pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -9
- Score range
- 55–102
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
139Season APEX196.8
12.8Auto31.9
35.9Teleop30.6
7.8Endgame18.2
43Consistency166
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 31 |
| teleop | 41 | 63 |
| endgame | 29 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 81 | 145 |
Result
Final score
81 – 145
Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.