Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.67 – 159.18

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.1 ±10.5

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 1.68Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11254FIRST Ignition

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 15.82Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 30.17Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.4 ±11.2

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 58.25Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 18.5Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 82.43Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10361, 11254, 11167

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10361, 11254, 11167

Auto

19.7 38%

Teleop

11.0 21%

Endgame

21.3 41%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 342, 6961, 6366

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 342, 6961, 6366

Auto

29.4 19%

Teleop

91.0 58%

Endgame

37.8 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.7pts

Blue projected score159.2pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.5
Score range: 29–178
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 105.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.1Season APEX315.4

19.7Auto29.4

11Teleop91

21.3Endgame37.8

131Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	29
teleop	25	70
endgame	27	25
foul	0	0
total	76	124

Result

Final score

76 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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