Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.44 – 117.75

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 149.7 ±10.4

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX 28.77Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 9.96Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 64.71Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.3 ±10.5

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 52.91Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 14.67Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 50.17Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10591, 6167, 1319

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10591, 6167, 1319

Auto

25.1 28%

Teleop

37.2 42%

Endgame

27.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1051, 7085, 343

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1051, 7085, 343

Auto

27.5 24%

Teleop

59.2 52%

Endgame

28.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.4pts

Blue projected score117.8pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.3
Score range: 84–137
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 105.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

149.7Season APEX249.3

25.1Auto27.5

37.2Teleop59.2

27.2Endgame28.1

42Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	26
teleop	28	48
endgame	6	32
foul	5	30
total	69	136

Result

Final score

69 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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