Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.84 – 42.45

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

221 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.4 ±9.8

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 97.47Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX -11.89Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 47.26Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 122.9 ±12.2

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 1.6Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4533Phoenix

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 29.76Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11475DawgBots

Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 11.09Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8575, 3490, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8575, 3490, 342

Auto

18.6 14%

Teleop

74.6 56%

Endgame

39.1 30%

Strengths

· 8575 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10361, 4533, 11475

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10361, 4533, 11475

Auto

17.1 36%

Teleop

23.9 50%

Endgame

6.4 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.8pts

Blue projected score42.5pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.4
Score range: 23–152
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 104.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.4Season APEX122.9

18.6Auto17.1

74.6Teleop23.9

39.1Endgame6.4

101Consistency144

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	23
teleop	146	10
endgame	42	8
foul	0	0
total	221	41

Result

Final score

221 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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