Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.73 – 133.49

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 10.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.6 ±10.5

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 82.84Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 5.75Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 36.14Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 279.6 ±9.8

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 27.67Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 78.99Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

281The GreenVillains

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 26.83Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1287, 11368, 2815

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1287, 11368, 2815

Auto

46.3 41%

Teleop

51.5 46%

Endgame

15.3 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9315, 6366, 281

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9315, 6366, 281

Auto

19.7 15%

Teleop

75.7 57%

Endgame

37.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score124.7pts

Blue projected score133.5pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.8
Score range: 106–152
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 268 vs event baseline 103.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.6Season APEX279.6

46.3Auto19.7

51.5Teleop75.7

15.3Endgame37.7

122Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	21
teleop	50	77
endgame	41	36
foul	10	15
total	119	149

Result

Final score

119 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 10.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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