Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.31 – 88.45

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 24.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.8 ±11.7

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 20.88Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11254FIRST Ignition

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 22.42Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10367Category 4 Storm Surge

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 37.01Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 163.8 ±11.7

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 15.88Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11308Daniel Morgan Patriots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 29.41Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 43.16Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6961, 11254, 10367

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6961, 11254, 10367

Auto

18.5 26%

Teleop

37.7 54%

Endgame

14.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10599, 11308, 1758

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10599, 11308, 1758

Auto

34.1 47%

Teleop

22.4 31%

Endgame

16.7 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.3pts

Blue projected score88.4pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.1
Score range: 61–107
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 179 vs event baseline 104.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.8Season APEX163.8

18.5Auto34.1

37.7Teleop22.4

14.2Endgame16.7

112Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	13
teleop	22	69
endgame	19	36
foul	0	0
total	61	118

Result

Final score

61 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 24.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.