Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.08 – 68.43

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 37.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 116.9 ±11.7

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 14.44Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11475DawgBots

Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 4.8Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 12.84Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.5 ±10.5

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 25.25Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX -3.45Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 46.63Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10231, 11475, 7085

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10231, 11475, 7085

Auto

19.7 48%

Teleop

23.8 58%

Endgame

-2.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11424, 10361, 343

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11424, 10361, 343

Auto

10.4 15%

Teleop

34.3 49%

Endgame

25.0 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.1pts

Blue projected score68.4pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.4
Score range: 13–87
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 176 vs event baseline 104.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

116.9Season APEX221.5

19.7Auto10.4

23.8Teleop34.3

-2.2Endgame25

141Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	17
teleop	29	51
endgame	12	41
foul	5	0
total	67	109

Result

Final score

67 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 37.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.