Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.61 – 65.87

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

150 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.7 ±10.4

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 61.46Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 28.16Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 44.99Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 113.5 ±11

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 8.05Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX 35.69Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 22.13Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1319, 9315, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1319, 9315, 342

Auto

16.2 13%

Teleop

76.0 61%

Endgame

31.9 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11368, 10591, 3489

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11368, 10591, 3489

Auto

20.1 50%

Teleop

2.6 7%

Endgame

17.3 43%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134.6pts

Blue projected score65.9pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.7
Score range: 47–154
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 104.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.7Season APEX113.5

16.2Auto20.1

76Teleop2.6

31.9Endgame17.3

71Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	19
teleop	90	25
endgame	32	13
foul	0	0
total	150	57

Result

Final score

150 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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