Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

210.66 – 127.28

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

227 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 15.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.4 ±9.3

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 54.81Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 75.4Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 80.45Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.3 ±9.8

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 26.36Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 49.3Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 51.62Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1319, 6366, 1287

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1319, 6366, 1287

Auto

46.3 23%

Teleop

120.9 60%

Endgame

33.4 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11398, 343, 1758

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11398, 343, 1758

Auto

26.4 22%

Teleop

56.6 46%

Endgame

39.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score210.7pts

Blue projected score127.3pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.4
Score range: 106–232
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 114.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.4Season APEX248.3

46.3Auto26.4

120.9Teleop56.6

33.4Endgame39.4

73Consistency160

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	32
teleop	136	35
endgame	44	40
foul	5	5
total	227	112

Result

Final score

227 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 15.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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