Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.09 – 153.43

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 17.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.6 ±10.4

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 52.53Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 16.13Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 37.43Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.2 ±9.3

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 42.02Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 29.72Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 81.69Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1758, 6167, 1102

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1758, 6167, 1102

Auto

29.2 29%

Teleop

29.5 30%

Endgame

40.4 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2815, 11167, 6366

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2815, 11167, 6366

Auto

29.4 19%

Teleop

77.3 50%

Endgame

48.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score106.1pts

Blue projected score153.4pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.3
Score range: 87–172
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 225 vs event baseline 104.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.6Season APEX315.2

29.2Auto29.4

29.5Teleop77.3

40.4Endgame48.9

91Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	50
teleop	26	73
endgame	27	12
foul	5	15
total	75	150

Result

Final score

75 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 17.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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