Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.52 – 113.35

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

118 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134 ±11

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 26.55Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 19.64Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 49.33Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.5 ±10.5

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 81.36Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX 37.14Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX -5.15Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9315, 3489, 1051

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9315, 3489, 1051

Auto

6.7 7%

Teleop

55.0 58%

Endgame

33.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6366, 10591, 10361

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6366, 10591, 10361

Auto

24.7 22%

Teleop

57.8 51%

Endgame

30.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.5pts

Blue projected score113.4pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.8
Score range: 78–131
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 98.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134Season APEX246.5

6.7Auto24.7

55Teleop57.8

33.1Endgame30.8

66Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	14
teleop	69	54
endgame	19	41
foul	10	15
total	118	124

Result

Final score

118 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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