Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
100.96 – 31.01
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
79 – 49
Prediction correct · off by 20 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 47.24Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 32.33Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 21.39Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 120.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 7.89Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 23.75Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 20.4Event APEX -0.63Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10367, 11424, 281
65
/ 100 compatProjected
101 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10367, 11424, 281
Auto
12.8 14%
Teleop
51.1 56%
Endgame
27.1 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11368, 11308, 11475
21
/ 100 compatProjected
31 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 11368, 11308, 11475
Auto
23.6 100%
Teleop
-14.5 0%
Endgame
0.3 3%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 0.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score101pts
Blue projected score31pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 69.9
- Score range
- 13–119
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
171.9Season APEX120.2
12.8Auto23.6
51.1Teleop-14.5
27.1Endgame0.3
97Consistency181
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 24 |
| teleop | 38 | 22 |
| endgame | 25 | 3 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 79 | 49 |
Result
Final score
79 – 49
Prediction correct · off by 20 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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