Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.74 – 108.88

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

155 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 25.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 371.3 ±9.3

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 32.69Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 75.57Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 18.48Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.3 ±11.6

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 59.17Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 11.51Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 38.2Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 343, 6366, 6167

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 343, 6366, 6167

Auto

29.0 21%

Teleop

73.8 53%

Endgame

36.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1051, 11368, 8137

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1051, 11368, 8137

Auto

19.7 20%

Teleop

54.6 56%

Endgame

22.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.7pts

Blue projected score108.9pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.9
Score range: 91–145
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 97.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

371.3Season APEX171.3

29Auto19.7

73.8Teleop54.6

36Endgame22.4

35Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	26
teleop	84	25
endgame	31	21
foul	0	15
total	155	87

Result

Final score

155 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 25.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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