Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.76 – 106.68

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 145 ±12.2

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 23.16Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 20.63Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 30.97Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.6 ±10.4

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 58.13Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 29.01Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 19.54Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10599, 10361, 1102

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10599, 10361, 1102

Auto

15.2 22%

Teleop

28.4 41%

Endgame

26.0 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 342, 8137, 9315

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 342, 8137, 9315

Auto

19.5 18%

Teleop

62.0 59%

Endgame

24.4 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.8pts

Blue projected score106.7pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.9
Score range: 54–128
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 108 vs event baseline 114.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

145Season APEX185.6

15.2Auto19.5

28.4Teleop62

26Endgame24.4

90Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	12
teleop	17	36
endgame	12	22
foul	0	0
total	38	70

Result

Final score

38 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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