Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.87 – 151.86

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.7 ±9.8

11308Daniel Morgan Patriots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 22.44Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 37.11Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 23.32Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.7 ±10.5

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 3.32Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 44.64Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 103.9Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11308, 8137, 11167

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11308, 8137, 11167

Auto

22.8 25%

Teleop

38.5 42%

Endgame

29.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10361, 2815, 8575

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10361, 2815, 8575

Auto

22.3 15%

Teleop

91.9 62%

Endgame

33.1 22%

Strengths

· 8575 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.9pts

Blue projected score151.9pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69
Score range: 65–170
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 101.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.7Season APEX217.7

22.8Auto22.3

38.5Teleop91.9

29.3Endgame33.1

185Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	12
teleop	40	52
endgame	31	53
foul	0	0
total	93	117

Result

Final score

93 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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