Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

124.17 – 39.71

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

262 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 69.6 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.9 ±9.9

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 56.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 25.49Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 41.74Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 110.2 ±11.7

11475DawgBots

Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 18.5Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 1.63Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 19.58Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6366, 1051, 8575

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6366, 1051, 8575

Auto

14.8 11%

Teleop

95.5 69%

Endgame

28.4 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11475, 3490, 9315

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11475, 3490, 9315

Auto

9.4 21%

Teleop

20.2 46%

Endgame

14.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score124.2pts

Blue projected score39.7pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.5
Score range: 23–141
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 303 vs event baseline 93.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

398.9Season APEX110.2

14.8Auto9.4

95.5Teleop20.2

28.4Endgame14.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	13
teleop	171	25
endgame	72	3
foul	0	0
total	262	41

Result

Final score

262 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 69.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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