Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.6 – 108.08

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 13.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.9 ±9.3

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 97.31Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 24.63Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 79.66Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.9 ±10.4

281The GreenVillains

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 40.85Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 30.07Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10367Category 4 Storm Surge

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 37.16Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8575, 6167, 1287

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8575, 6167, 1287

Auto

39.2 20%

Teleop

117.5 60%

Endgame

39.1 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 281, 11424, 10367

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 281, 11424, 10367

Auto

22.0 21%

Teleop

48.4 46%

Endgame

35.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score201.6pts

Blue projected score108.1pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.5
Score range: 88–222
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 324 vs event baseline 113.8.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

358.9Season APEX171.9

39.2Auto22

117.5Teleop48.4

39.1Endgame35

34Consistency142

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	18
teleop	109	56
endgame	37	23
foul	40	5
total	222	102

Result

Final score

222 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 13.2 pts

Match videos

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