FIRST South Carolina State Championship presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.7 – 281.88

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.3 ±9.8

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 20.61Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 31.42Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 26.67Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.6 ±9.3

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 116.34Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 103.58Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11254FIRST Ignition

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 61.96Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10388, 3489, 11167

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.7 pts

~0.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10388, 3489, 11167

Auto

21.2 24%

Teleop

38.6 45%

Endgame

26.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8575, 6366, 11254

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8575, 6366, 11254

Auto

53.1 19%

Teleop

165.6 58%

Endgame

66.6 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.24 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score78.7pts

Blue projected score281.9pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -203.2
Score range: 53–308
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 358 vs event baseline 144.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.3Season APEX390.6

21.2Auto53.1

38.6Teleop165.6

26.8Endgame66.6

55Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	62
teleop	18	171
endgame	1	90
foul	0	5
total	30	328

Result

Final score

30 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree