FIRST South Carolina State Championship presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

258.26 – 138.15

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 4.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 327.5 ±9.8

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 15.76Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 66.37Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 176.13Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146 ±10.4

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 35.2Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

281The GreenVillains

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 81.12Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 21.83Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9315, 1758, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9315, 1758, 4451

Auto

44.2 18%

Teleop

143.9 58%

Endgame

60.6 24%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11424, 281, 3489

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11424, 281, 3489

Auto

31.0 21%

Teleop

78.4 54%

Endgame

36.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.85 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score258.3pts

Blue projected score138.2pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 7%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 120.1
Score range: 110–286
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 406 vs event baseline 156.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

327.5Season APEX146

44.2Auto31

143.9Teleop78.4

60.6Endgame36.7

80Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	18
teleop	153	64
endgame	63	59
foul	0	0
total	265	141

Result

Final score

265 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 4.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree