FIRST South Carolina State Championship presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.39 – 282.18

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 377

Prediction correct · off by 102.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.2 ±9.3

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 70.44Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 61.97Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 37.98Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455.9 ±9.3

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 32.05Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 90.52Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 159.61Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 343, 1287, 3489

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 343, 1287, 3489

Auto

23.1 14%

Teleop

93.8 55%

Endgame

52.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6167, 6366, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6167, 6366, 4451

Auto

39.5 14%

Teleop

185.4 66%

Endgame

55.3 20%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.48 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score170.4pts

Blue projected score282.2pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 4%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.8
Score range: 144–308
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 437 vs event baseline 146.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.2Season APEX455.9

23.1Auto39.5

93.8Teleop185.4

52.9Endgame55.3

175Consistency153

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	58
teleop	23	249
endgame	5	55
foul	0	15
total	60	377

Result

Final score

60 – 377

Prediction correct · off by 102.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.