FIRST South Carolina State Championship presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

215.68 – 97.75

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

201 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 13 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279 ±9.8

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 59.68Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 119.12Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 36.88Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 154 ±10.4

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 2.85Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 74.48Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 20.42Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1102, 8575, 8137

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1102, 8575, 8137

Auto

36.1 17%

Teleop

117.7 56%

Endgame

55.5 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1293, 342, 4083

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1293, 342, 4083

Auto

13.8 15%

Teleop

38.0 41%

Endgame

40.0 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score215.7pts

Blue projected score97.8pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 117.9
Score range: 70–244
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 156.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279Season APEX154

36.1Auto13.8

117.7Teleop38

55.5Endgame40

76Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	17
teleop	130	43
endgame	31	49
foul	0	0
total	201	109

Result

Final score

201 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 13 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree