FIRST South Carolina State Championship presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.03 – 88.74

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

233 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.9 ±9.3

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 46.65Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 137.55Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 64.83Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 142.5 ±10.4

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 85.18Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 3.9Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX -0.34Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7085, 4451, 343

/ 100 compat

Projected

249 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7085, 4451, 343

Auto

39.2 16%

Teleop

140.6 58%

Endgame

61.9 26%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1758, 1293, 4864

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.7 pts

~0.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1758, 1293, 4864

Auto

16.0 18%

Teleop

38.3 43%

Endgame

35.2 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.89 · Blue 0.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score249pts

Blue projected score88.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160.3
Score range: 63–275
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 145.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.9Season APEX142.5

39.2Auto16

140.6Teleop38.3

61.9Endgame35.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	16
teleop	147	49
endgame	62	60
foul	0	15
total	233	140

Result

Final score

233 – 140

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree