FIRST South Carolina State Championship presented by Magna

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

303.72 – 214.83

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

310 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 7.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 494.7 ±8.7

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 175.88Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 6.54Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 121.3Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.5 ±9.3

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 60.79Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 119.42Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 34.62Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4451, 10619, 6366

/ 100 compat

Projected

303.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4451, 10619, 6366

Auto

55.5 19%

Teleop

175.0 60%

Endgame

62.6 21%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 343, 8575, 7085

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 343, 8575, 7085

Auto

38.5 18%

Teleop

108.4 52%

Endgame

62.7 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.73 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score303.7pts

Blue projected score214.8pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 6%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.9
Score range: 187–332
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 516 vs event baseline 155.3.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

494.7Season APEX339.5

55.5Auto38.5

175Teleop108.4

62.6Endgame62.7

35Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	44
teleop	188	112
endgame	59	50
foul	0	0
total	310	206

Result

Final score

310 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 7.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.