FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

130.05 – 84.49

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

190 – 169

Prediction correct · off by 72.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.7 ±10.5

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 61.53Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 8.75Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 59.77Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.4 ±9.3

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 6.84Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 40.75Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 36.9Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4451, 10361, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 10361, 342

Auto

12.6 10%

Teleop

74.1 57%

Endgame

42.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8137, 6366, 8116

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8137, 6366, 8116

Auto

22.6 26%

Teleop

45.3 53%

Endgame

18.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.1pts

Blue projected score84.5pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.6
Score range: 67–147
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 93.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.7Season APEX337.4

12.6Auto22.6

74.1Teleop45.3

42.9Endgame18

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	28
teleop	75	83
endgame	60	43
foul	35	15
total	190	169

Result

Final score

190 – 169

Prediction correct · off by 72.2 pts

Match videos

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