FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

279.46 – 68.81

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

323 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 463 ±8.8

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 71.44Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 1.65Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 206.37Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.9 ±11.2

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX 9.11Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 20.25Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 39.45Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 1293, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 1293, 9496

Auto

68.8 25%

Teleop

145.0 52%

Endgame

63.6 23%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3976, 4083, 11167

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.8 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3976, 4083, 11167

Auto

13.9 23%

Teleop

30.0 49%

Endgame

17.8 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score279.5pts

Blue projected score68.8pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 210.7
Score range: 53–295
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 91.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

463Season APEX165.9

68.8Auto13.9

145Teleop30

63.6Endgame17.8

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	19
teleop	159	18
endgame	100	15
foul	0	10
total	323	62

Result

Final score

323 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 pts

Match videos

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