FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.54 – 50.81

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.9 ±9.8

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 27.83Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 16.38Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4533Phoenix

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 6.33Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.1 ±9.8

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX -8.65Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 20.42Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 39.04Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3490, 8430, 4533

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3490, 8430, 4533

Auto

13.6 38%

Teleop

12.8 36%

Endgame

9.3 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3489, 4083, 11167

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3489, 4083, 11167

Auto

18.6 40%

Teleop

15.8 34%

Endgame

11.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.5pts

Blue projected score50.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.3
Score range: 35–67
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 91.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.9Season APEX176.1

13.6Auto18.6

12.8Teleop15.8

9.3Endgame11.7

48Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	14
teleop	33	33
endgame	7	15
foul	0	10
total	56	72

Result

Final score

56 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 pts

Match videos

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