FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

268.38 – 40.78

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

342 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 50.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 463 ±8.8

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 203.31Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -2.78Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 67.85Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 127.5 ±10.4

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 3.06Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 37.03Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX 0.69Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9496, 1293, 1648

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9496, 1293, 1648

Auto

65.7 25%

Teleop

145.5 55%

Endgame

54.4 20%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10231, 7085, 10591

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.8 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10231, 7085, 10591

Auto

12.3 36%

Teleop

16.0 46%

Endgame

6.2 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score268.4pts

Blue projected score40.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 227.6
Score range: 25–284
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 410 vs event baseline 89.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

463Season APEX127.5

65.7Auto12.3

145.5Teleop16

54.4Endgame6.2

32Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	21
teleop	152	24
endgame	105	3
foul	0	20
total	342	68

Result

Final score

342 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 50.4 pts

Match videos

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