FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

148.59 – 103.99

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

114 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.7 ±10.5

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 67.38Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 15.48Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 65.73Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.4 ±9.3

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 14.07Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 46.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 43.76Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4451, 10361, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 10361, 342

Auto

19.6 14%

Teleop

74.1 52%

Endgame

48.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8137, 6366, 8116

/ 100 compat

Projected

104 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8137, 6366, 8116

Auto

23.9 23%

Teleop

56.7 55%

Endgame

23.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score148.6pts

Blue projected score104pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.6
Score range: 86–167
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 98.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.7Season APEX337.4

19.6Auto23.9

74.1Teleop56.7

48.2Endgame23

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	26
teleop	49	48
endgame	45	19
foul	0	20
total	114	113

Result

Final score

114 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 pts

Match videos

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