FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.1 – 69.33

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

140 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 337.4 ±9.3

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 12.6Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 44.55Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 41.95Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.3 ±10.4

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 20.08Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 25.35Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11254FIRST Ignition

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 23.9Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8137, 6366, 8116

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8137, 6366, 8116

Auto

23.1 23%

Teleop

54.1 55%

Endgame

21.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11424, 11398, 11254

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11424, 11398, 11254

Auto

27.6 40%

Teleop

32.4 47%

Endgame

9.4 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.1pts

Blue projected score69.3pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.8
Score range: 51–117
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 97.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

337.4Season APEX148.3

23.1Auto27.6

54.1Teleop32.4

21.3Endgame9.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	33
teleop	75	43
endgame	35	25
foul	0	10
total	140	111

Result

Final score

140 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 pts

Match videos

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