FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.71 – 138.04

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

412 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 102.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 463 ±8.8

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 73.07Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 3.99Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 207.65Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.7 ±10.5

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 64.04Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 11.48Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 62.52Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 1293, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 1293, 9496

Auto

67.7 24%

Teleop

146.5 52%

Endgame

68.9 24%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4451, 10361, 342

/ 100 compat

Projected

138 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 10361, 342

Auto

13.7 10%

Teleop

73.1 55%

Endgame

45.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score284.7pts

Blue projected score138pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.7
Score range: 121–302
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 627 vs event baseline 94.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

463Season APEX346.7

67.7Auto13.7

146.5Teleop73.1

68.9Endgame45.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	55
teleop	227	82
endgame	103	68
foul	0	10
total	412	215

Result

Final score

412 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 102.1 pts

Match videos

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