FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

97.09 – 44.04

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

131 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 337.4 ±9.3

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 11.45Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 44.44Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 41.2Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 127.5 ±10.4

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 4.93Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 38.42Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX 0.69Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8137, 6366, 8116

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8137, 6366, 8116

Auto

23.3 24%

Teleop

51.4 53%

Endgame

21.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10231, 7085, 10591

/ 100 compat

Projected

44 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10231, 7085, 10591

Auto

14.9 40%

Teleop

18.1 49%

Endgame

4.0 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.1pts

Blue projected score44pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.1
Score range: 27–114
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 94.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

337.4Season APEX127.5

23.3Auto14.9

51.4Teleop18.1

21.7Endgame4

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	19
teleop	79	28
endgame	25	18
foul	0	5
total	131	70

Result

Final score

131 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 pts

Match videos

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