FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

88.64 – 0.54

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

84 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 16.1 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.6 ±9.3

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 57.79Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 20.21Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 10.64Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.3 ±11

4533Phoenix

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX -1.76Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX -17.91Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11254FIRST Ignition

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 20.21Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4451, 11167, 4083

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 11167, 4083

Auto

8.0 10%

Teleop

40.0 49%

Endgame

34.4 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4533, 10361, 11254

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4533, 10361, 11254

Auto

-1.6 26%

Teleop

-4.8 79%

Endgame

0.3 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.6pts

Blue projected score0.5pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.1
Score range: -12–102
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 112 vs event baseline 74.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.6Season APEX158.3

8Auto-1.6

40Teleop-4.8

34.4Endgame0.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	11
teleop	39	13
endgame	28	4
foul	0	0
total	84	28

Result

Final score

84 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 16.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.