FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

35.33 – 33.72

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 31.3 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 106.5 ±10.4

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 10.75Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10591No Cap

Season APEX 31Event APEX 4.29Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 20.29Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223 ±9.8

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 31.8Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX -2.37Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 4.29Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1293, 10591, 7085

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1293, 10591, 7085

Auto

14.8 55%

Teleop

5.2 19%

Endgame

7.1 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1648, 3489, 11424

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 3489, 11424

Auto

13.7 41%

Teleop

14.5 43%

Endgame

5.5 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.3pts

Blue projected score33.7pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.6
Score range: 20–49
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 121 vs event baseline 76.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

106.5Season APEX223

14.8Auto13.7

5.2Teleop14.5

7.1Endgame5.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	30
teleop	2	53
endgame	2	8
foul	15	0
total	30	91

Result

Final score

30 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 31.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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