FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

131.2 – 77.08

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 227

Prediction missed · off by 116.6 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.3 ±11.2

342Burning Magnetos

Season APEX 91Event APEX 33.6Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX 64Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 33.6Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 378.1 ±9.4

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 13.34Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 64Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX -0.26Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 342, 3976, 8430

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 342, 3976, 8430

Auto

16.1 12%

Teleop

74.0 57%

Endgame

40.8 31%

Strengths

· 3976 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10388, 9496, 3490

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10388, 9496, 3490

Auto

5.9 8%

Teleop

40.1 53%

Endgame

29.3 39%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.2pts

Blue projected score77.1pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.1
Score range: 65–143
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 275 vs event baseline 66.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.3Season APEX378.1

16.1Auto5.9

74Teleop40.1

40.8Endgame29.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	75
teleop	5	92
endgame	26	55
foul	0	5
total	48	227

Result

Final score

48 – 227

Prediction missed · off by 116.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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