FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.03 – 70.75

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

57 – 37

Prediction missed · off by 23.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.8 ±9.8

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 15.22Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 48.15Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 6.66Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.3 ±9.8

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 19.66Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 27.87Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 23.22Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8137, 6366, 10231

/ 100 compat

Projected

70 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8137, 6366, 10231

Auto

15.8 24%

Teleop

36.2 56%

Endgame

12.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10619, 11398, 6167

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10619, 11398, 6167

Auto

19.8 30%

Teleop

32.8 49%

Endgame

14.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70pts

Blue projected score70.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.7
Score range: 52–89
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 94 vs event baseline 99.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.8Season APEX190.3

15.8Auto19.8

36.2Teleop32.8

12.9Endgame14.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	15
teleop	34	10
endgame	13	12
foul	0	0
total	57	37

Result

Final score

57 – 37

Prediction missed · off by 23.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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