FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

28.7 – 82.81

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 122.9 ±10.4

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 16.59Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3490Viper Drive

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 24.04Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3489Category 5

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX -11.93Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334.4 ±9.8

11254FIRST Ignition

Season APEX 55.8Event APEX 23.65Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8137Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 2.84Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 56.32Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4083, 3490, 3489

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4083, 3490, 3489

Auto

13.1 49%

Teleop

2.6 10%

Endgame

10.8 41%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11254, 8137, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11254, 8137, 4451

Auto

15.2 20%

Teleop

41.6 54%

Endgame

20.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score28.7pts

Blue projected score82.8pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.1
Score range: 13–99
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 89.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

122.9Season APEX334.4

13.1Auto15.2

2.6Teleop41.6

10.8Endgame20.8

54Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	21
teleop	31	51
endgame	21	33
foul	15	0
total	78	105

Result

Final score

78 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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