FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.68 – 244.54

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 349

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 124.3 ±10.4

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 1.86Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10231Midnight Circuits

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 1.85Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7085Wired Warriors

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 34.97Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 532.4 ±8.8

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 195.35Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6167CB Bearbots

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 17.2Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 31.99Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10388, 10231, 7085

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.7 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10388, 10231, 7085

Auto

15.0 45%

Teleop

9.5 28%

Endgame

9.0 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9496, 6167, 6366

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9496, 6167, 6366

Auto

61.3 25%

Teleop

134.7 55%

Endgame

48.9 20%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.33 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.7pts

Blue projected score244.5pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -205.9
Score range: 23–261
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 86.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

124.3Season APEX532.4

15Auto61.3

9.5Teleop134.7

9Endgame48.9

0Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	58
teleop	12	199
endgame	21	92
foul	25	0
total	71	349

Result

Final score

71 – 349

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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