FSC District North Charleston Event presented by SCDE & City of North Charleston Recreation

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

65.68 – 65.03

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 68

Prediction missed · off by 2.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.5 ±9.9

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 36.8Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 23.49Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10361Gatorbots

Season APEX 35Event APEX 5.39Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.8 ±9.8

11424Boa Constructors

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 22.36Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 17.46Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11398Shark Bytes

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 25.21Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8116, 10619, 10361

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8116, 10619, 10361

Auto

17.7 27%

Teleop

38.5 58%

Endgame

10.3 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11424, 8430, 11398

/ 100 compat

Projected

65 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11424, 8430, 11398

Auto

27.3 46%

Teleop

22.4 38%

Endgame

9.3 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.7pts

Blue projected score65pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample140alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.7
Score range: 49–82
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 87.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.5Season APEX143.8

17.7Auto27.3

38.5Teleop22.4

10.3Endgame9.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	18
teleop	29	36
endgame	20	9
foul	0	5
total	63	68

Result

Final score

63 – 68

Prediction missed · off by 2.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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